Qinvia Research
Quantitative studies and sourced explainers exploring ideas, assumptions, results and risks open to review.
Open library
10 publications with visible sources, assumptions and limitations.
Showing 10 publications.
Market structure
Past buyers remember. AI competes for technological attention. New investment wrappers change how money reaches Bitcoin. We test whether the wider crypto opportunity set changed with them.
QNV-20260919-01
A sourced history of twelve editorial eras in US equities, from the telegraph to a possible AI transition. Information, trading costs, decision makers, funding and rules changed how markets react.
QNV-20260916-02
The US stock-market average is real. Thirty-nine markets, recovery paths and starting valuations reveal what that famous number cannot say alone.
QNV-20260916-01
XIV's real February 2018 collapse, told through a trend rule that looked impressive before the gap. Two historical-price charts show the equity before and after, plus the damage of doubling exposure.
QNV-20260915-01
A visual introduction to linear relationships, residuals, Z-scores, OLS, Kalman filters and cointegration—without needless jargon, using real data and a thematic pair that is hard to beat.
QNV-20260907-01
A reproducible audit of 2,005 mature ETF portfolios that separates exposure from intentional management, then tests whether candidates survive cash, financing, entry-point sensitivity and SPY as opportunity cost.
QNV-20260831-01
RWM compares compound growth over cash with drawdown in that same advantage—a simple way to distinguish an efficient curve from one whose return was bought too dearly.
QNV-20260830-01
An experimental signed descriptor of net direction, cancellation and effective magnitude breadth. It complements economic severity and path-aware risk; it does not predict returns.
QNV-20260829-02
Three experimental and descriptive lenses for distinguishing strategies with similar returns but radically different paths, drawdowns and concentration; they are not validated estimators of future profitability.
QNV-20260829-01
A reproducible PCA-residual falsification study across 50 OKX perpetuals. The gross effect is measurable; turnover exhausts the economic edge.
QNV-20260828-01
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